tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-119906447472922361.post6696871918645580490..comments2023-12-21T22:03:18.964-08:00Comments on Sound and fury, signifying nothing: Iowa fallout 2012Dade Cariagahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13431049944346345893noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-119906447472922361.post-11343931218974184402012-01-04T21:20:32.051-08:002012-01-04T21:20:32.051-08:00I don't usually watch the Iowa returns, it is ...I don't usually watch the Iowa returns, it is such a strange state and results there have little meaning in the rest of the US. Still, I did watch last night and enjoyed it. Very entertaining on CNN, and even on FOX. I especially enjoyed watching them play with the county maps and voter breakdown graphics. <br /><br />All the pundants have decided that Mitt Romney will be the Republican candidate. Their reasons;<br /><br />Rick Santorum is too right wing, no way can he get beyond the hard core conservative vote to reach the moderate Republicans<br /><br />Ron Paul is crazy. He may force the party to embrace a few of his less loony ideas, but they will never vote him in as their candidate.<br /><br />Newt Gingrich has too much baggage and none of the money boys will back him. Too many enemies within the party.<br /><br />Rick Perry may pull some votes in the South, but like Santoum and Bachman he is too much of a jesus freak to get the votes of Republicans who want someone who can win in a general election where the American public is very leery of religious fanatics.<br /><br />Anyone else, well it's too late to get on the ticket.<br /><br />So, the experts all agree it will be Mitt. The default candidate who is vanilla enough to get the nomination, and maybe bland enough to draw in some Independents and Democrats if the economy tanks enough before November.<br /><br />Fortunately, the experts don't pick the candidate. One of the evangelicals could still pull it off. Support for crazy old Ron Paul who wants to restore the constitution keeps growing, and the one thing Iowa did show was that he is the one Republican that Independents and Democrats will vote for. That leaves Poor Newt. The experts probably have that one right. He seems to be the only person that believes he would be the best choice as a Presidential candidate.<br /><br />It does not matter very much who the Republicans field. The deciding factor for most voters will be the state of the economy and its outlook in November. If it is bad enough, they will 'win' and the rest of us will lose. Waynenoreply@blogger.com